WTI Morning Curve, Pivots, Vol, Cal WTI Brent Sprds
WTI. 3/9/23
Costless collars
Apr23-Dec23 65.00 put /86.00 call Swap ref 7563
Cal 2024 60.00 put /83.50 call 71.52
*Apr-Dec23 Cal avg futures trading at a $4.11 premium to Cal 2024.
Price Curve
Apr 76.67
May 76.80
June 76.83 *peak price
July 76.67
*Price curve continues contango shaped in front-end.
Moving further back along the time curve, prices are trading at premiums. From July23 to further back backwardation characterizes the curve's shape.
Local Pivot Points
April CLJ
78.45 resistance 2
77.55
76.83 Pivot
75.93
75.21 support 2
*Pivot numbers are based on yesterday's trading range of $1.62 plus high, low, close levels.
Volatility
April $76.50 straddle 3.10 theoretical value.
*Implies 36.08% volatility. Days to exp: 7
April Cal Avg WTI/Brent spread (BKJ)
--5.40/-5.33
Long: Short Open Interest Ratio
*Based on Commitment of Traders Report. Next Monday
All these levels are a snapshot in time on the runway to the market's 9 am opening. These are not trade recommendations.
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