Monday, October 5, 2009

USD EURO YEN ETC

Arguably the USD weakness over the last 6 months has been the dominant feature in the long commodity trade especially Oil.  Overnight the Euro failed to break above the 50% retrace of it's move down and is likely in a corrective bounce up from last Thur.s lows.

























The Yen is much less of a component in the DX but appears to have 5 waves up with some evidence of topping. Additionally it is famously responsive to Japanese intervention. :

Oct. 5 (Bloomberg) -- Japanese Finance Minister Hirohisa Fujii issued his clearest warning yet that his nation is open to intervening in the currency market even as the Group of Seven declined to criticize the tumbling dollar.
“If currencies show some excessive moves in a biased direction, we will take action,” Fujii said Oct. 3 in Istanbul after a meeting of G-7 finance ministers and central bankers.

www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601101&sid=ajTxz9pHQaNw

No comments:

Post a Comment